On January 3, 2019, the 116th Congress convened. Although the Senate remains staunchly red, the House of Representatives turned blue- the first Democratic majority in Congress since 2011. As a result, President Donald Trump will face serious challenges to his presidency, including an inquiry into the one question that is on everyone’s mind: Can President Trump be impeached?

Throughout his presidency, and even before being elected, President Trump has been in hot water for what we call now the Russia Investigation. To summarize, the Russia investigation, conducted by White House Special Counsel, Robert Mueller, is an inquiry into Russia’s involvement in the 2016 presidential election, but has expanded to include President Trump’s possible wrongdoings.

President Trump could be possibly indicted on several different crimes revealed throughout his presidency. Just days before being elected, Stormy Daniels, who alleges that she and President Trump had an affair in 2007, announced that she received a payment of $130,000 in “hush” payments. The catch is that President Trump used campaign money for personal business, which is illegal under campaign finance laws.

Just recently, President Trump’s ex-lawyer Michael Cohen was sentenced to three years in prison for the same reasons listed above. Some argue that President Trump could be charged too for directing Cohen to commit these crimes.

The president could also be charged for colluding with the Russian government to rig the election in his favor. James Comey, the ex-FBI Director, was fired back in May 2017 by President Trump. This firing could possibly be seen as obstruction of justice because Comey was directing the Russia investigation. In simpler terms, President Trump fired the person in charge of  investigating him.

To be clear, impeachment does not equate to being removed from office. Although a blue-majority House makes it easier for the impeachment process to take place, the likelihood that President Trump will leave office is very low. For that to happen, the House will first have to indict him and impeach him through a majority vote. The Senate (which is a Republican majority) would then need to vote with a 2/3 majority to actually kick the President out of office.

Although the likelihood of President Trump leaving office is low, impeachment is actually becoming more and more probable since the midterms. The House has the ability to quickly impeach a president without the support of the Senate. For example, President Bill Clinton’s impeachment process was started by the House in October 1998, and by December of the same year, President Clinton was officially impeached.

With the precedent already set, we’ve reached a stage where actual action towards impeachment could happen, and if it does, it could be complete in two months.